The Arithmetic Behind Fouling on Purpose
Intentional foul strategy priced properly: free-throw expectation, possessions actually gained, the margin where it turns negative, and the football versions.
Tag: late game decisions
Three Moments When Calling a Timeout Hurts You
Basketball timeout strategy treated as a price rather than a habit: the three moments a stoppage costs more than it buys, and how to judge one live.
Price Every Two-Minute Drill Decision in Seconds and Points
Every two minute drill decision has a price in seconds and expected points. What a spike, a timeout and a sideline route really cost a late drive.