College Football
How Returning Production Should Shape the NFL Draft Conversation
Every April, the NFL Draft conversation produces a familiar disagreement. Scouts cite tape and combine measurables. Front offices cite proprietary…
SportsHighLight · Beat
College Football
College football, treated seriously. Conference realignment, recruiting class value, transfer portal volatility, advanced metrics adapted to the chaos of the FBS schedule. The version of the sport where analytics still has room to mature.
College Football
When Returning Production Lies: Experience vs Actual Quality
A college football program returns 82% of its offensive production. The preseason ranking moves up four spots. The analytical case…
College Football
The SEC vs Big Ten Question, Settled (or Almost) by the Numbers
The SEC vs Big Ten conference debate, settled (or partially settled) by the numbers, where the data agrees with the consensus and where it...
College Football
Bracketology Beyond the Algorithm: A Practical Guide to NCAA Tournament Models
The Sunday before March Madness produces a familiar ritual. ESPN reveals the bracket. Bracketologists explain what went right and wrong.…
College Football
Coaching Continuity as a Hidden Variable in College Football Models
A college football program returns 78% of its offensive production. The major projection models — SP+, ESPN’s FPI, the various…
College Football
Reading the CFP National Championship Through SP+ and Returning Production
Every January, the CFP National Championship produces two arguments. The first is about which team won. The second is about…
College Football
SP+ vs the CFP Committee: 2025 Bracket Disagreements
SP+ had Miami top ten since September. The committee took until BYU losing the Big 12 title to agree. Reading the model vs committee...
College Football
CFB Rivalry Week 2025: When the Favorites All Covered
Ohio State 27-9 Michigan. The Iron Bowl. The Apple Cup. Rivalry Week 2025 produced the cleanest model-aligned weekend of the season.
College Football
College Football 2025 Conference Championship Race Through SP+
Indiana defensive end Mikail Kamara strip-sacked Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin with 38 seconds left at Lucas Oil Stadium in…
College Football
March Madness 2025: How Florida Won and What the Models Saw Coming
Walter Clayton Jr. dribbled out the final five seconds of the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship at the Alamodome, the…