Playoff Adjustment: How NBA Round 1 Reveals Regular-Season Mirages
A team that posts a +6 net rating across an 82-game regular season looks, on the page, like a contender.…
Independent sports analytics — NFL, NBA, Soccer, College Football, WNBA
Basketball analytics, advanced stats, lineup data, and the work of reading the modern NBA. True shooting, on/off splits, the all-in-ones — used the way analysts who watch the games actually use them.
A team that posts a +6 net rating across an 82-game regular season looks, on the page, like a contender.…
The hot-hand fallacy — what the original research claimed, what the corrected research shows, where the question still has uncertainty, and how to write...
Playoff scaling — which regular-season numbers survive May, which collapse, and how to read postseason performance through structural translation rather than narrative inflation.
Every February, NBA All-Star voting produces a familiar two-act argument. Act one is the fan vote, which rewards popularity, market…
Knicks-Bucks, Spurs-Knicks (Wemby), Lakers-Heat (LeBron), Nuggets-76ers, Mavs-Warriors prime-time. Two close games, three blowouts is the historical pattern.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander walked off the Paycom Center floor with the Bill Russell trophy in his hands at 11:47 PM local…
Indiana built the deepest playoff rotation in twenty years. It got them to Game 7 vs OKC and stopped there. The depth model, audited.
OKC scored 38 in the first quarter, held Edwards to 18 points, won 114-88. The structural defense that survived the regular season survived May.
Heat became the first 10-seed ever to advance. The Play-In format does not select for the best teams. It selects for streakiness and closing...
Luka Doncic to Lakers, Davis to Mavericks, Butler to Warriors, Fox to Spurs. The net rating impact 47 days later. The Lakers won. The...