Bayer Leverkusen’s Unbeaten Season: Bayesian Skepticism in Football
Bayesian skepticism in football — what it means, how it applies to extraordinary seasons like Leverkusen's unbeaten run, where the framework breaks, and how...
Independent sports analytics — NFL, NBA, Soccer, College Football, WNBA
Jess Tanaka is the SportsHighLight NBA and WNBA lead. She writes the bulk of basketball coverage on both sides — lineup data, second-spectrum-style tracking interpretation, possession value, shot quality. Wrote the Possession Trap series and most of the WNBA pace pieces; the editor most likely to push back on a hot take with a chart.
Bayesian skepticism in football — what it means, how it applies to extraordinary seasons like Leverkusen's unbeaten run, where the framework breaks, and how...
The Champions League knockout stage produces a familiar viewing trap. A team wins the first leg 2-0 away from home.…
The January transfer window is the messiest moment in soccer’s analytical calendar. Clubs scramble to fix mid-season problems. Selling sides…
Arsenal 4-0 Atletico looked like vintage demolition. The xG numbers were 3.8 to 0.6 and pointed at something the league phase would confirm.
Désiré Doué scored his second goal of the 2025 Champions League Final in the 73rd minute at the Allianz Arena…
Liverpool won the 2024-25 Premier League title in Slot first year. 84 points, 0.78 xG-against. Twenty English titles, equaling Manchester United.
Liverpool beat PSG 1-0 in the UCL Round of 16. PSG had 4.1 xG to Liverpool 1.8. The 3% finishing variance result that knockout...