Pressing Data Without the Costume: PPDA, Territory and the Limits of Public Models
A pundit on a Saturday afternoon broadcast describes the away team’s pressing as “intense” based on what looks like a…
Independent sports analytics — NFL, NBA, Soccer, College Football, WNBA
Football analytics in the StatsBomb era. Expected goals, possession value, shot maps, recruitment data — the metrics, where they break, and what the manager saw that the model missed.
A pundit on a Saturday afternoon broadcast describes the away team’s pressing as “intense” based on what looks like a…
Bayesian skepticism in football — what it means, how it applies to extraordinary seasons like Leverkusen's unbeaten run, where the framework breaks, and how...
The Champions League knockout stage produces a familiar viewing trap. A team wins the first leg 2-0 away from home.…
The January transfer window is the messiest moment in soccer’s analytical calendar. Clubs scramble to fix mid-season problems. Selling sides…
Arsenal 4-0 Atletico looked like vintage demolition. The xG numbers were 3.8 to 0.6 and pointed at something the league phase would confirm.
Désiré Doué scored his second goal of the 2025 Champions League Final in the 73rd minute at the Allianz Arena…
Liverpool won the 2024-25 Premier League title in Slot first year. 84 points, 0.78 xG-against. Twenty English titles, equaling Manchester United.
Liverpool beat PSG 1-0 in the UCL Round of 16. PSG had 4.1 xG to Liverpool 1.8. The 3% finishing variance result that knockout...