College Football
Reading the CFP National Championship Through SP+ and Returning Production
Every January, the CFP National Championship produces two arguments. The first is about which team won. The second is about…
SportsHighLight · Author
Owen Brennan
Football writer based in Indianapolis. Former college beat reporter who turned to NFL and college football analytics after watching one too many quarterback evaluations built entirely on highlight reels. Skeptical of any take that survives less than three weeks. Covers EPA, DVOA, SP+ and the work that has to happen on the All-22 before any of those numbers make sense.
NFL
Which Playoff Quarterbacks Actually Earn the Pressure They Face
A NFL Wild Card weekend always produces the same conversation. A quarterback throws three picks. The blame lands on him.…
College Football
SP+ vs the CFP Committee: 2025 Bracket Disagreements
SP+ had Miami top ten since September. The committee took until BYU losing the Big 12 title to agree. Reading the model vs committee...
College Football
CFB Rivalry Week 2025: When the Favorites All Covered
Ohio State 27-9 Michigan. The Iron Bowl. The Apple Cup. Rivalry Week 2025 produced the cleanest model-aligned weekend of the season.
College Football
College Football 2025 Conference Championship Race Through SP+
Indiana defensive end Mikail Kamara strip-sacked Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin with 38 seconds left at Lucas Oil Stadium in…
NFL
NFL Week 2 2025: Which 2-0 Teams Are Real, Which Are Variance
Six teams at 2-0. Five at 0-2. The records correlate weakly with rest-of-season. The trench-level numbers tell a different story.
NFL
NFL Week 1 2025: Early Analytical Signals From the Season Opener
The 2025 NFL season opened at 8:21 PM EST on Thursday, September 4 at Lincoln Financial Field, sixty-four seconds after…
NFL
Joint Practices Predict the Wrong Things: 2024 Cases Revisited
Five 2024 joint practice narratives. Almost zero hit rate by Week 8. Reading the 2025 cycle without falling into the same trap.
NFL
NFL Preseason 2025: Read Snap Counts, Not Highlights
Aaron Rodgers played one drive. Twelve other starters played similar. The preseason analytics that travels lives in snap counts, not highlight reels.
NFL
NFL Draft 2025: Cam Ward, Travis Hunter, and the Analytics of the Top Picks
Travis Hunter walked across the stage in Green Bay on April 24, hugged Roger Goodell, and put on a Jacksonville…